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Optimal design of cluster randomized trials allowing unequal allocation of clusters and unequal cluster size between arms

Copas, AJ; Hooper, R; (2021) Optimal design of cluster randomized trials allowing unequal allocation of clusters and unequal cluster size between arms. Statistics in Medicine 10.1002/sim.9135. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

There are sometimes cost, scientific, or logistical reasons to allocate individuals unequally in an individually randomized trial. In cluster randomized trials we can allocate clusters unequally and/or allow different cluster size between trial arms. We consider parallel group designs with a continuous outcome, and optimal designs that require the smallest number of individuals to be measured given the number of clusters. Previous authors have derived the optimal allocation ratio for clusters under different variance and/or intracluster correlations (ICCs) between arms, allowing different but prespecified cluster sizes by arm. We derive closed-form expressions to identify the optimal proportions of clusters and of individuals measured for each arm, thereby defining optimal cluster sizes, when cluster size can be chosen freely. When ICCs differ between arms but the variance is equal, the optimal design allocates more than half the clusters to the arm with the higher ICC, but (typically only slightly) less than half the individuals and hence a smaller cluster size. We also describe optimal design under constraints on the number of clusters or cluster size in one or both arms. This methodology allows trialists to consider a range for the number of clusters in the trial and for each to identify the optimal design. Except if there is clear prior evidence for the ICC and variance by arm, a range of values will need to be considered. Researchers should choose a design with adequate power across the range, while also keeping enough clusters in each arm to permit the intended analysis method.

Type: Article
Title: Optimal design of cluster randomized trials allowing unequal allocation of clusters and unequal cluster size between arms
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/sim.9135
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.9135
Language: English
Additional information: © 2021 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute for Global Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute for Global Health > Infection and Population Health
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10132047
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