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Predictors of varying levels of risks posed by fixated individuals to British public figures

Gill, P; Corner, E; Farnham, F; Wilson, S; Marchment, Z; Taylor, A; Taylor, R; (2021) Predictors of varying levels of risks posed by fixated individuals to British public figures. Journal of Forensic Sciences 10.1111/1556-4029.14708. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Concerning approaches and communications to the Royal Family and other British public figures are relatively numerous. This paper examines over 2000 such cases logged over a three-year period in the United Kingdom. Using police and health data, the paper conducts a series of bivariate and multivariate analyses to demonstrate the predictors of what types of risk are posed by an individual case (e.g., communicate only, approach, security breach). The results showed that (a) the rates of serious mental disorders are higher among this sample than the general population base rate, (b) approachers were significantly more likely than communicators to suffer from serious mental disorders, (c) approachers were significantly more likely than communicators to have a history of substance use and abuse problems, (d) approachers were significantly more likely than communicators to have a history of violent behavior against property and persons, and (e) the motivations of approachers and communicators significantly differ. The paper concludes with a consideration of the implications for threat assessment and management.

Type: Article
Title: Predictors of varying levels of risks posed by fixated individuals to British public figures
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.14708
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1556-4029.14708
Language: English
Additional information: © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Forensic Sciences published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Academy of Forensic Sciences This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: approach behavior, assessing risk level, fixated individuals, risk management, threat assessment, threats posed to public figures, violence motivations
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Security and Crime Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10125227
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