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Can we mitigate the effect of natural disasters on child health? Evidence from the Indian Ocean tsunami in Indonesia

Lepine, A; Restuccio, M; Strobl, E; (2021) Can we mitigate the effect of natural disasters on child health? Evidence from the Indian Ocean tsunami in Indonesia. Health Economics , 30 (2) pp. 432-452. 10.1002/hec.4202. Green open access

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Abstract

he 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami was an international natural disaster unlike any seen before, killing 166,561 people in Aceh province, Indonesia. It prompted an unprecedented humanitarian response and was a catalyst in ending almost 30 years of civil conflict in Aceh. Since the tsunami was followed by a multitude of events, we first conduct a systematic review to identify those events in Indonesia. We then use a synthetic control method to estimate the combination of those effects on child mortality indicators in Aceh for the 13 years that followed the disaster using data from 258,918 children born between 1990 and 2017. The results show a significant increase in under‐5 mortality only the year after the tsunami and no effect in the medium term. However, younger and older children were affected differently in the medium term. In fact, we show a decrease in child mortality among children aged 1–4 years. In contrast, we observe an increase in mortality among children under‐1 in 2009 and 2010. Overall, the resilience of Aceh province points to the importance of coordinated international disaster responses after natural disasters.

Type: Article
Title: Can we mitigate the effect of natural disasters on child health? Evidence from the Indian Ocean tsunami in Indonesia
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/hec.4202
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4202
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions.
Keywords: 2004 tsunami, child mortality, natural disaster, synthetic control
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute for Global Health
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10120406
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