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Examining non-linear built environment effects on elderly's walking: A random forest approach

Cheng, L; De Vos, J; Zhao, P; Yang, M; Witlox, F; (2020) Examining non-linear built environment effects on elderly's walking: A random forest approach. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment , 88 , Article 102552. 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102552. Green open access

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Abstract

Previous studies often assume a pre-specified relationship between walking and the built environment. Using data from 702 older adults in Nanjing (China), this study employs a random forest method to scrutinise the refined associations between the built environment and walking time among older adults, while controlling for socio-demographics. Results show that all the analysed built environment attributes tend to impose salient non-linear and threshold effects on walking time. For example, population density and land use mix only increase older adults’ walking at certain levels. Ultra-densely populated areas and excessively mixed land uses may even lead to a decline in walking. Built environment interventions would consequently only be effective in certain ranges. By quantifying the relative importance of built environment attributes, we further indicate the hierarchy of intervention priorities. These results offer nuanced and appropriate guidance for building age-friendly neighbourhoods.

Type: Article
Title: Examining non-linear built environment effects on elderly's walking: A random forest approach
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102552
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102552
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Built environment, Land use, Walking, Non-linear effect, Random forest, Active ageing
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > The Bartlett School of Planning
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10111513
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