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Airline profit maximization, cost pass-through and scarcity rents in capacity-constrained aviation systems

Dray, L; Doyme, K; Schafer, A; (2020) Airline profit maximization, cost pass-through and scarcity rents in capacity-constrained aviation systems. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Airport capacity limitations have been suggested to lead to reduced pass-through of airline cost changes, and increased airline profits. Theoretically, these outcomes arise from limited supply leading to profit-optimal passenger fares determined only by available capacity. Practically, however, outcomes depend on real-world airline networks, fleet and costs. In this paper we model airline competition across an existing network (Australian intercity domestic flights) with endogenously-generated fares and frequency to investigate this. Consistent with theory, we find less pass-through at airports with more stringent capacity constraints and where airlines are unequally-affected by cost changes. Per-passenger airline profit increases roughly linearly with constraint stringency.

Type: Article
Title: Airline profit maximization, cost pass-through and scarcity rents in capacity-constrained aviation systems
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: https://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/lse/jtep
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright permission from Journal of Transport Economics and Policy. This version is the accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: airline competition, airline costs, cost pass-through, scarcity rents, profit optimization, airport capacity
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10110758
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