Guerrero, OA; Castañeda, G; (2020) Quantifying the coherence of development policy priorities. Development Policy Review 10.1111/dpr.12498. (In press).

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Abstract

Motivation: Over the last 30 years, the concept of policy coherence for development has received attention among academics, practitioners and international organizations. However, its quantification and measurement remain elusive. / Research questions: To address this challenge, we develop a quantitative counterfactual‐based framework to measure the coherence of policy priorities for development. / Approach of methods: Our procedure takes into account the country‐specific constraints that governments face when trying to reach development goals. Hence, we present a new definition of policy coherence where resource allocations are employed as the baseline to construct an index. Results: We validate this coherence index by producing country‐specific estimates that are consistent with well‐known cases of development strategies (both successful and failed). / Conclusions: Our results highlight the limitations of assessing coherence in terms of benchmark comparisons using development‐indicator data. Altogether, our framework sheds new light in a promising direction to develop bespoke analytic tools to meet the 2030 Agenda.

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