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Diffusion of flue gas desulfurization reveals barriers and opportunities for carbon capture and storage

McDowall, W; Van Ewijk, S; (2020) Diffusion of flue gas desulfurization reveals barriers and opportunities for carbon capture and storage. Nature Communications , 11 , Article 4298. 10.1038/s41467-020-18107-2. Green open access

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Abstract

Addressing climate change may require rapid global diffusion of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS). To understand its potential diffusion, we analysed a historical analogy: Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD) in the global coal power market. Our findings challenge common patterns: diffusion of FGD is not described by a single S-curve but by multiple steps and does not slow down after materiality. The regulation-driven diffusion of FGD can be fast, especially for retrofit since it does not require new power plants. Owing to the mature size of coal power plants, the diffusion of FGD is driven by unit numbers instead of unit capacity growth. We find that the diffusion of CCS in climate change mitigation pathways, when normalised for economic growth, rarely exceeds the historical maximum diffusion rate of FGD. Our findings suggest that end-of-pipe abatement technology can diffuse fast and to a great extent provided deep, consistent long-term regulatory commitment.

Type: Article
Title: Diffusion of flue gas desulfurization reveals barriers and opportunities for carbon capture and storage
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18107-2
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18107-2
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10107832
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