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Probabilistic selection of event scenarios

Paik, JK; (2019) Probabilistic selection of event scenarios. In: Advanced Structural Safety Studies. (pp. 19-44). Springer: Singapore.

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Abstract

An extreme or accidental event in a structural system is always associated with multiple parameters which are random and probabilistic by nature. Therefore, a huge number of possible scenarios must be relevant for the real event. For advanced structural safety studies that involve refined computations and physical model testing, it is essential to select a set of realistic scenarios which must represent all the possible events but with a limited number which is needed to minimize the computational costs. This chapter presents practical methods to select a set of realistic scenarios but with a limited number by making use of probabilistic sampling techniques. The selected scenarios shall be used for advanced structural safety studies associated with limit states and risks.

Type: Book chapter
Title: Probabilistic selection of event scenarios
ISBN-13: 978-981-13-8244-4
DOI: 10.1007/978-981-13-8245-1_2
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-8245-1_2
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Mechanical Engineering
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10101980
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