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Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather

Cohen, J; Zhang, X; Francis, J; Jung, T; Kwok, R; Overland, J; Ballinger, TJ; ... Yoon, J; + view all (2020) Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather. Nature Climate Change , 10 (1) pp. 20-29. 10.1038/s41558-019-0662-y. Green open access

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Abstract

The Arctic has warmed more than twice as fast as the global average since the late twentieth century, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification (AA). Recently, there have been considerable advances in understanding the physical contributions to AA, and progress has been made in understanding the mechanisms that link it to midlatitude weather variability. Observational studies overwhelmingly support that AA is contributing to winter continental cooling. Although some model experiments support the observational evidence, most modelling results show little connection between AA and severe midlatitude weather or suggest the export of excess heating from the Arctic to lower latitudes. Divergent conclusions between model and observational studies, and even intramodel studies, continue to obfuscate a clear understanding of how AA is influencing midlatitude weather.

Type: Article
Title: Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0662-y
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0662-y
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions.
Keywords: Atmospheric science, Climate change, Cryospheric science
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Earth Sciences
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10094804
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