Tocornal, F; Poulos, A; De La Llera, JC; Mitrani-Reiser, J; Rivera Jofre, F; (2015) Modelamiento de la evacuación de un colegio en Iquique. In: Proceedings of the XI Congreso Chileno de Sismologia e Ingenieria Sismica 2015. (pp. p. 105). Chilean Association on Seismiology and Earthquake Engineering ACHISINA: Santiago de Chile.

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Abstract

Evacuating people from potential tsunami inundation zones as a result of large earthquakes in cities and towns along the shoreline is a critical and complex social activity that needs to be executed in very short time by people while coordinated by emergency offices. This research focuses in the evacuation process inside the buildings that are located in inundation zones, developing an agent-based model to simulate building evacuations. The methodology that was used integrates the physical effects of agent motion with different social behaviors that have been observed in real evacuations. The model was applied to a real evacuation drill of a school in the city of Iquique, in northern Chile. The flow rates and evacuation times that were measured in the drill were used to quantify the predictive capacity of the proposed model, obtaining differences of 13.6% and 5.9%, respectively. This ability to model human evacuations in a realistic way can be used in the future to wide variety of applications, including the prediction of concerns in the evacuation process of a building, and assess the positive effects of possible mitigation actions that communities and people can undergo to improve their emergency evacuation response.

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