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How networked organisations build capacity for anticipatory governance in South East Asian deltas

Somavilla Croxatto, L; Hogendoorn, D; Petersen, AC; (2020) How networked organisations build capacity for anticipatory governance in South East Asian deltas. Futures , 116 , Article 102512. 10.1016/j.futures.2020.102512. Green open access

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Abstract

Building capacity for governments to make inferences about future developments enhances their ability to anticipate and plan for climate change adaptation. This study examines the question: how do networked organisations build capacity for anticipatory governance through project-based interactions? We analyse a global network of organisations that mobilise climate and hydrological modelling technologies into the Chao Phraya and Ayeyarwaddy deltas. The methodology innovatively combines ethnographic data with policy analysis and social network analysis. Findings suggest that organisations consolidate technology and knowledge transfer through a global network. However, their governance effect in enhancing anticipatory decision making is found to be marginal at the local level. We argue that anticipatory governance practices need a balancing of foresight tools and techniques with local institutional arrangements in order to be effective. We further demonstrate that technology transfer projects need to be backed up with social and strategic capacity building in order to nurture consistent anticipatory governance in different cultural contexts. We conclude that preventive actions, together with transparent operational response frameworks, could significantly improve resilience and adaptability of local knowledge systems and institutions dealing with climate change adaptation. Such integration could enable anticipatory response measures to better manage risk, as well as increase institutional cooperation for long term environmental planning.

Type: Article
Title: How networked organisations build capacity for anticipatory governance in South East Asian deltas
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2020.102512
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2020.102512
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY/4.0/).
Keywords: Global networks, Anticipatory governance, Capacity building, Project-based interactions, Modelling technologies, Environmental planning
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > STEaPP
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10089728
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