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Spatial interaction and security: a review and case study of the Syrian refugee crisis

Frith, MJ; Simon, M; Davies, T; Braithwaite, A; Johnson, SD; (2019) Spatial interaction and security: a review and case study of the Syrian refugee crisis. Interdisciplinary Science Reviews , 44 (3-4) pp. 328-341. 10.1080/03080188.2019.1670439. Green open access

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Abstract

Sir Alan Wilson's ideas have been highly influential in the modelling of phenomena including migration, transport and economics. Latterly, research has explored the application of similar ideas to new problems at larger scales. Many of these studies relate to global challenges with significant policy implications. Here, we present an example in the form of original empirical work concerning forced migration associated with the current Syrian refugee crisis. We employ a spatial interaction framework to examine the flows of migrants fleeing Syria and the characteristics which influence their choice of destination country. In line with the broader literature, we find that shorter distances, economic prosperity, and cultural similarity (e.g. shared language) attract forced migrants, as does the probability of being granted asylum; a finding with potential implications for policy. Contrary to expectation, we find little influence for levels of security in potential host nations (e.g. absence of terrorism).

Type: Article
Title: Spatial interaction and security: a review and case study of the Syrian refugee crisis
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/03080188.2019.1670439
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1080/03080188.2019.1670439
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Science & Technology, Social Sciences, Multidisciplinary Sciences, Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary, Science & Technology - Other Topics, Social Sciences - Other Topics, Refugees, migration, spatial interaction, conflict, MIGRATION, ASYLUM, DIFFUSION, GRAVITY, SEEKING, MODEL, LAW
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Security and Crime Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10088949
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