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Carbon emissions in countries that failed to ratify the intended nationally determined contributions: A case study of Kyrgyzstan

Yang, P; Cui, C; Li, L; Chen, W; Shi, Y; Mi, Z; Guan, D; (2020) Carbon emissions in countries that failed to ratify the intended nationally determined contributions: A case study of Kyrgyzstan. Journal of Environmental Management , 255 , Article 109892. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109892. Green open access

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Abstract

The Paris Agreement aims to increase global participation in climate change actions, yet attentions are not equally given among countries. The knowledge gap remains in understanding the structure and drivers of the emission in small developing countries. Eighteen countries have failed to ratify their Intended National Determined Contributions (INDCs) as an officially recognized emission target. Among these countries, we chose Kyrgyzstan as a case to construct its emission inventories from both production-based and consumption-based perspectives and to identify the drivers of emission changes using structural decomposition analysis (SDA). The empirical results revealed that CO2 emissions in Kyrgyzstan depicted a wavelike rise from 2007 to 2015, whilst the production structure contributed to 14% of the production-based CO2 emission growth from 2012 to 2015. As a net emission importer, Kyrgyzstan transferred large quantities of CO2 emissions to China and Russia through imports. However, if all manufacturing imports were produced within Kyrgyzstan, the emission would be over five times compared to the current level. It is helpful to reduce global emissions for Kyrgyzstan to import goods from other countries whose carbon intensities are lower. Overall, this study highlights the need to focus on these countries' failure to ratify INDCs while calling the Paris Agreement to provide a better understanding and mitigation mechanism for these small developing countries.

Type: Article
Title: Carbon emissions in countries that failed to ratify the intended nationally determined contributions: A case study of Kyrgyzstan
Location: England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109892
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109892
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: CO(2) emissions inventory, Embodied emission, Inequality, Input-output table, Kyrgyzstan
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education > IOE - Social Research Institute
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10088258
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