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The long-term outcomes of CIS patients in the Barcelona inception cohort: Looking back to recognize aggressive MS

Tintore, M; Arrambide, G; Otero-Romero, S; Carbonell-Mirabent, P; Rio, J; Tur, C; Comabella, M; ... Montalban, X; + view all (2019) The long-term outcomes of CIS patients in the Barcelona inception cohort: Looking back to recognize aggressive MS. Multiple Sclerosis Journal 10.1177/1352458519877810. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To explore the long-term outcomes of patients with clinically isolated syndromes from the Barcelona cohort. METHODS: We selected patients with a follow-up longer than 10 years to (1) estimate the risks of multiple sclerosis (MS) and disability accumulation according to the baseline number of T2 lesions and to compare treated versus untreated patients and early versus delayed treatment, and (2) to study baseline features of patients with aggressive MS (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ⩾6.0 at 10 years). RESULTS: In all, 401 patients were included (mean follow-up of 14.4 (standard deviation of 2.9) years). A higher number of T2 lesions was associated with an earlier MS diagnosis and an earlier risk of irreversible disability. Early treatment was associated with a decreased risk of EDSS of 3.0: adjusted hazard ratio = 0.4, 95% confidence interval = (0.2, 0.7). Patients with aggressive MS differed in their baseline brain magnetic resonance images: The median (interquartile range) number of T2 lesions and contrast-enhancing lesions (CEL) was 71 (28–95) versus 7 (1–19) and 3 (1–24) versus 0 (0–1), respectively. The cut-offs that better classified patients with aggressive MS were 20 for T2 lesions and 2 for CEL. CONCLUSION: Although MS natural history is changing, a high lesion load at onset is helpful to identify patients at risk of presenting an aggressive MS.

Type: Article
Title: The long-term outcomes of CIS patients in the Barcelona inception cohort: Looking back to recognize aggressive MS
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1177/1352458519877810
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1177/1352458519877810
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Clinically isolated syndromes, multiple sclerosis, MRI, prognosis, disease-modifying treatment, prediction
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology > Neuroinflammation
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10087511
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