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Cardiovascular Predictive Value and Genetic Basis of Ventricular Repolarization Dynamics

Ramírez, J; van Duijvenboden, S; Aung, N; Laguna, P; Pueyo, E; Tinker, A; Lambiase, PD; ... Munroe, PB; + view all (2019) Cardiovascular Predictive Value and Genetic Basis of Ventricular Repolarization Dynamics. Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology , 12 (10) , Article e007549. 10.1161/CIRCEP.119.007549. Green open access

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Early prediction of cardiovascular risk in the general population remains an important issue. The T-wave morphology restitution (TMR), an ECG marker quantifying ventricular repolarization dynamics, is strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality in patients with heart failure. Our aim was to evaluate the cardiovascular prognostic value of TMR in a UK middle-aged population and identify any genetic contribution. METHODS: We analyzed ECG recordings from 55 222 individuals from a UK middle-aged population undergoing an exercise stress test in UK Biobank (UKB). TMR was used to measure ventricular repolarization dynamics, exposed in this cohort by exercise (TMR during exercise, TMRex) and recovery from exercise (TMR during recovery, TMRrec). The primary end point was cardiovascular events; secondary end points were all-cause mortality, ventricular arrhythmias, and atrial fibrillation with median follow-up of 7 years. Genome-wide association studies for TMRex and TMRrec were performed, and genetic risk scores were derived and tested for association in independent samples from the full UKB cohort (N=360 631). RESULTS: A total of 1743 (3.2%) individuals in UKB who underwent the exercise stress test had a cardiovascular event, and TMRrec was significantly associated with cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.11; P=5×10-7), independent of clinical variables and other ECG markers. TMRrec was also associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.10) and ventricular arrhythmias (hazard ratio, 1.16). We identified 12 genetic loci in total for TMRex and TMRrec, of which 9 are associated with another ECG marker. Individuals in the top 20% of the TMRrec genetic risk score were significantly more likely to have a cardiovascular event in the full UKB cohort (18 997, 5.3%) than individuals in the bottom 20% (hazard ratio, 1.07; P=6×10-3). CONCLUSIONS: TMR and TMR genetic risk scores are significantly associated with cardiovascular risk in a UK middle-aged population, supporting the hypothesis that increased spatio-temporal heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization is a substrate for cardiovascular risk and the validity of TMR as a cardiovascular risk predictor.

Type: Article
Title: Cardiovascular Predictive Value and Genetic Basis of Ventricular Repolarization Dynamics
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1161/CIRCEP.119.007549
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCEP.119.007549
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that the original work is properly cited. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: T-wave morphology, exercise, genetic analyses, genetic risk score, middle aged, risk
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science > Clinical Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science > Population Science and Experimental Medicine
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science > Population Science and Experimental Medicine > MRC Unit for Lifelong Hlth and Ageing
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10084004
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