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Systematic Measurement Error in Election Violence Data: Causes and Consequences

Von Borzyskowski, Inken; Wahman, Michael; (2021) Systematic Measurement Error in Election Violence Data: Causes and Consequences. British Journal of Political Science , 51 (1) 230 -252. 10.1017/s0007123418000509. Green open access

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Abstract

What are the causes and consequences of systematic measurement error in violence measures drawn from media-based conflict event data? More specifically, how valid are such event data for geocoding and capturing election violence? This study examines sub-national variation in election violence and uses original data from domestic election monitor surveys as a comparison to widely used sources of event data. The authors show that conventional data under-report events throughout the election cycle, particularly in sparsely populated areas and outside anticipated violence hotspots. Moreover, systematic measurement error of media-based event data for measuring election violence can generate significant relationships where none exist, and can result in different effect magnitudes. The article suggests areas for future research and indicates ways in which existing work on election violence may have been affected by systematic measurement error.

Type: Article
Title: Systematic Measurement Error in Election Violence Data: Causes and Consequences
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1017/s0007123418000509
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123418000509
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Election violence; measurement; Africa; Zambia; Malawi
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Political Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10081831
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