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Institutional integration and economic growth in Europe

Campos, NF; Coricelli, F; Moretti, L; (2019) Institutional integration and economic growth in Europe. Journal of Monetary Economics , 103 pp. 88-104. 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.001. Green open access

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Abstract

The literature on the growth effects of European integration remains inconclusive. This is due to severe methodological difficulties mostly driven by country heterogeneity. This paper addresses these concerns using the synthetic control method. It constructs counterfactuals for countries that joined the European Union (EU) from 1973 to 2004. We find that growth effects from EU membership are large and positive, with Greece as the exception. Despite substantial variation across countries and over time, we estimate that without European integration, per capita incomes would have been, on average, approximately 10% lower in the first ten years after joining the EU.

Type: Article
Title: Institutional integration and economic growth in Europe
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.001
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.001
Language: English
Additional information: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Keywords: Economic growth, Integration, Institutions, European union, Synthetic control method
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > SSEES
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10081666
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