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Bayesian quadrature for multiple related integrals

Xi, X; Briol, FX; Girolami, M; (2018) Bayesian quadrature for multiple related integrals. In: Dy, J and Krause, A, (eds.) Proceedings of the 35th International Conference on Machine Learning. (pp. pp. 8533-8564). PPMLR Green open access

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Abstract

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to incomplete/finite information about the continuous mathematical problem being approximated. In this paper, we demonstrate that this paradigm can provide additional advantages, such as the possibility of transferring information between several numerical methods. This allows users to represent uncertainty in a more faithful manner and, as a by-product, provide increased numerical efficiency. We propose the first such numerical method by extending the well-known Bayesian quadrature algorithm to the case where we are interested in computing the integral of several related functions. We then prove convergence rates for the method in the well-specified and misspecified cases, and demonstrate its efficiency in the context of multi-fidelity models for complex engineering systems and a problem of global illumination in computer graphics.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Bayesian quadrature for multiple related integrals
Event: The 35th International Conference on Machine Learning
Dates: 10th-15th July 2018
ISBN-13: 9781510867963
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: http://proceedings.mlr.press/v80/xi18a.html
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Statistical Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10079215
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