Lockley, A;
(2019)
Security of solar radiation management geoengineering.
Frontiers of Engineering Management
, 6
(1)
pp. 102-116.
10.1007/s42524-019-0008-5.
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Abstract
Solar Radiation Management (SRM) geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW) (National Academy of Sciences, 2015). There may be profound – even violent – disagreement on preferred temperature. SRM disruption risks dangerous temperature rise (termination shock). Concentrating on aircraft-delivered Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI), we appraise threats to SRM and defense methodologies. Civil protest and minor cyberattacks are almost inevitable but are manageable (unless state-sponsored). Overt military attacks are more disruptive, but unlikely – although superpowers’ symbolic overt attacks may deter SRM. Unattributable attacks are likely, and mandate use of widely-available weapons. Risks from unsophisticated weapons are therefore higher. An extended supply chain is more vulnerable than a secure airbase – necessitating supply-chain hardening. Recommendations to improve SRM resilience include heterogeneous operations from diverse, secure, well-stocked bases (possibly ocean islands or aircraft carriers); and avoidance of single-point-offailure risks (e.g. balloons). A distributed, civilianoperated system offers an alternative strategy. A multilateral, consensual SRM approach reduces likely attack triggers.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Security of solar radiation management geoengineering |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s42524-019-0008-5 |
| Publisher version: | http://journal.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-01... |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the appropriate credit is given to the original author(s) and the source, and a link is provided to the Creative Commons license, indicating if changes were made. |
| Keywords: | security, geoengineering, solar radiation management, SRM |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > The Bartlett Sch of Const and Proj Mgt |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10073464 |
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