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A probabilistic approach to determine design loads for collision between an offshore supply vessel and offshore installations

Mujeeb-Ahmed, MP; Paik, JK; (2019) A probabilistic approach to determine design loads for collision between an offshore supply vessel and offshore installations. Ocean Engineering , 173 pp. 358-374. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2018.12.059. Green open access

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Abstract

Offshore supply vessel (OSV) collisions have been identified as the most frequent type of collision accidents in the offshore oil/gas or wind turbine industries. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is an efficient method for evaluating the collision risk to an offshore installation. In-depth information on collision load parameters, such as incoming ship velocity and impact location, is considered prerequisite for determining the consequences of collisions with accuracy. Thus, the aim of this study is to provide a new probabilistic method for determining collision design loads. Each input parameter is treated by a probability density function, and a set of 50 prospective collision scenarios is generated using Latin hyper cube sampling (LHS) technique. Numerical computations of ship motions are performed to obtain collision load parameters. The probabilistic characteristics of the parameters using a goodness of fit test and an interval study are carried out, and best-fit probability density functions and the exceedance curves are established. A case study of the proposed method is demonstrated using a hypothetical OSV and an offshore jacket structure located in a hypothetical oceanic region. The details of the computations are documented, and the findings of the study are discussed.

Type: Article
Title: A probabilistic approach to determine design loads for collision between an offshore supply vessel and offshore installations
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2018.12.059
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2018.12.059
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Offshore supply vessel, Visiting vessel, Passing vessel, Collision between offshore platform and offshore supply vessel, Quantitative collision risk assessment
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Mechanical Engineering
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10072270
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