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Consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting with capital stock change highlights dynamics of fast-developing countries

Chen, Z-M; Ohshita, S; Lenzen, M; Wiedmann, T; Jiborn, M; Chen, B; Lester, L; ... Liu, Z; + view all (2018) Consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting with capital stock change highlights dynamics of fast-developing countries. Nature Communications , 9 , Article 3581. 10.1038/s41467-018-05905-y. Green open access

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Abstract

Traditional consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting attributed the gap between consumption-based and production-based emissions to international trade. Yet few attempts have analyzed the temporal deviation between current emissions and future consumption, which can be explained through changes in capital stock. Here we develop a dynamic model to incorporate capital stock change in consumption-based accounting. The new model is applied using global data for 1995-2009. Our results show that global emissions embodied in consumption determined by the new model are smaller than those obtained from the traditional model. The emissions embodied in global capital stock increased steadily during the period. However, capital plays very different roles in shaping consumption-based emissions for economies with different development characteristics. As a result, the dynamic model yields similar consumption-based emissions estimation for many developed countries comparing with the traditional model, but it highlights the dynamics of fast-developing countries.

Type: Article
Title: Consumption-based greenhouse gas emissions accounting with capital stock change highlights dynamics of fast-developing countries
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05905-y
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05905-y
Language: English
Additional information: © The Author(s) 2018. Open Access. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/ by/4.0/.
Keywords: Commerce, Developing Countries, Economics, Greenhouse Gases, Models, Theoretical
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10070694
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