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A multi-scale urban integrated assessment framework for climate change studies: A flooding application

Ford, A; Barr, S; Dawson, R; Virgo, J; Batty, M; Hall, J; (2019) A multi-scale urban integrated assessment framework for climate change studies: A flooding application. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems , 75 pp. 229-243. 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2019.02.005. Green open access

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Abstract

In order to assess the potential future impacts of climate change on urban areas, tools to assist decision-makers to understand future patterns of risk are required. This paper presents a modelling framework to allow the downscaling of national- and regional-scale population and employment projections to local scale land-use changes, providing scenarios of future socio-economic change. A coupled spatial interaction population model and cellular automata land development model produces future urbanisation maps based on planning policy scenarios. The framework is demonstrated on Greater London, UK, with a set of future population and land-use scenarios being tested against flood risk under climate change. The framework is developed in Python using open-source databases and is designed to be transferable to other cities worldwide.

Type: Article
Title: A multi-scale urban integrated assessment framework for climate change studies: A flooding application
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2019.02.005
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2019.02.00...
Language: English
Additional information: © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY/4.0/).
Keywords: Climate change, Cities, Urban planning, Land-use, Transport, Flooding
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10070583
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