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CO2 abatement goals for international shipping

Traut, M; Larkin, A; Anderson, K; McGlade, C; Sharmina, M; Smith, T; (2018) CO2 abatement goals for international shipping. Climate Policy , 18 (8) pp. 1066-1075. 10.1080/14693062.2018.1461059. Green open access

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Abstract

The Paris Agreement, which entered into force in 2016, sets the ambitious climate change mitigation goal of limiting the global temperature increase to below 2°C and ideally 1.5°C. This puts a severe constraint on the remaining global GHG emissions budget. While international shipping is also a contributor to anthropogenic GHG emissions, and CO2 in particular, it is not included in the Paris Agreement. This article discusses how a share of a global CO2 budget over the twenty-first century could be apportioned to international shipping, and, using a range of future trade scenarios, explores the requisite cuts to the CO2 intensity of shipping. The results demonstrate that, under a wide range of assumptions, existing short-term levers of efficiency must be urgently exploited to achieve mitigation commensurate with that required from the rest of the economy, with virtually full decarbonization of international shipping required as early as before mid-century.

Type: Article
Title: CO2 abatement goals for international shipping
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2018.1461059
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1461059
Language: English
Additional information: © 2018 The Author(s). This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: CO2 budgets; International shipping; Paris Agreement
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10067841
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