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Simulating Counterfactual Representation

Eggers, AC; Lauderdale, BE; (2017) Simulating Counterfactual Representation. Political Analysis , 24 (2) pp. 281-290. 10.1093/pan/mpw005. Green open access

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We show how to use multilevel modeling and post-stratification to estimate legislative outcomes under counterfactual representation schemes that, for example, boost the representation of women or translate votes into seats differently. We apply this technique to two research questions: (1) Would the U.S. Congress be less polarized if state delegations were formed according to the principle of party proportional representation? (2) Would there have been stronger support for legalizing same-sex marriage in the U.K. House of Commons if Parliament more closely reflected the population in gender and age?

Type: Article
Title: Simulating Counterfactual Representation
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1093/pan/mpw005
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpw005
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Political Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10066376
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