Fell, MJ;
Pye, S;
Hamilton, I;
(2019)
Capturing the distributional impacts of long-term low-carbon transitions.
Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions
10.1016/j.eist.2019.01.007.
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Abstract
Major policy proposals often require a distributional impact assessment, focusing on differential financial and other impacts across population segments. Such assessments are rare, however, at the multi-decadal scale addressed in long-term (e.g. to 2050) low carbon transition modelling. There is therefore a risk of socially inequitable outcomes, which in turn presents a socio-political risk for decision-makers driving transitions. This paper uses a literature review and expert interviews to identify mechanisms by which low carbon transitions could differentially impact population sub-groups. As well as impacts of policy costs on bills, this includes factors such as ability to connect to heat networks or install onsite generation or storage. An approach to exploring distributional impacts across a range of long term scenarios from a United Kingdom energy model (ESME), is proposed. This sets out how bill changes and other costs associated with low carbon transition could impact different income quintiles in the UK.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Capturing the distributional impacts of long-term low-carbon transitions |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.eist.2019.01.007 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2019.01.007 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | Copyright © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY/4.0/). |
| Keywords: | low-carbon transitions, energy systems modelling, distributional impacts, stakeholder engagement |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10066360 |
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