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A model based on Gauss Distribution for predicting window behavior in building

Pan, S; Han, Y; Wei, S; Wei, Y; Xia, L; Xie, L; Kong, X; (2019) A model based on Gauss Distribution for predicting window behavior in building. Building and Environment , 149 pp. 210-219. 10.1016/j.buildenv.2018.12.008. Green open access

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Abstract

Modeling of window behavior is a key component for building performance simulation, due to the significant impact of opening/closing windows on indoor environment and energy consumption. The predictions of existing models cannot well reflect actual window behavior, the prediction accuracy still needs to be improved. The Gauss distribution model is a new machine-learning technique which has achieved successful applications in many fields because of its special advantages (i.e. simple structure, strong operability and flexible nonparametric inference ability) compared to existing models. This paper presents results from a study using the Gauss distribution model to predict window behavior in office building. The data used in this study were from a real building located in Beijing, China, and covered two transitional seasons (from October 1 to November 15, 2014 and from March 15 to May 16, 2015), when natural ventilation was fully applied. When modeling, three types of input variables, i.e., indoor temperature, outdoor temperature and their combination were used. This work validates the importance of selecting suitable input variables when developing Gauss distribution model. This study also compared the prediction performance between the Gauss distribution modeling approach and the Logistic regression modeling approach, which is the most popular method used to model occupant window behavior in buildings. The results showed that Gauss distribution models could provide higher prediction accuracy, with 9.5% higher than Logistic regression model when using suitable inputs. This paper provided a novel modeling method that can be used to predict window states more accurately in office buildings.

Type: Article
Title: A model based on Gauss Distribution for predicting window behavior in building
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2018.12.008
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2018.12.008
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Window behavior, Gauss distribution, Logistic regression, Modeling, Office building
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10065250
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