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Making the world a simpler place: the modeller's temptation to seek alternative trial results

Colbourn, TE; Prost, A; Seward, N; (2018) Making the world a simpler place: the modeller's temptation to seek alternative trial results. BMJ Global Health , 3 (5) , Article e001194. 10.1136/bmjgh-2018-001194. Green open access

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Abstract

Modelled results should not be prioritised over empirical trial results when these are available. Researchers need to consider theories of intervention effect, or lack of effect, and the roles of context when modelling results. Increasing coverage of interventions may not lead to reductions in mortality.

Type: Article
Title: Making the world a simpler place: the modeller's temptation to seek alternative trial results
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2018-001194
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2018-001194
Language: English
Additional information: © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2018. This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute for Global Health
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10060517
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