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Depressive symptoms predict incident chronic disease burden 10 years later: Findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA)

Poole, L; Steptoe, A; (2018) Depressive symptoms predict incident chronic disease burden 10 years later: Findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). Journal of Psychosomatic Research , 113 pp. 30-36. 10.1016/j.jpsychores.2018.07.009. Green open access

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Abstract

Objective: To assess the association between depressive symptoms and incident chronic illness burden in prospective longitudinal analyses. // Methods: We analysed data from 2472 participants (62.88 ± 8.49 years old; 50.8% female) from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). Depressive symptoms were measured using the Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression (CES-D) scale at baseline in 2004, and participants were followed up for 10 years. Participants with prevalent illness at baseline (coronary heart disease [CHD], other cardiac illness, stroke, cancer, diabetes/high blood glucose, arthritis, lung disease, osteoporosis and Parkinson's disease) were excluded from models predicting illness burden (the sum of illnesses reported) over follow-up. Linear regression was used controlling for a wide range of covariates. // Results: The mean chronic illness burden was 0.57, with 43.1% experiencing at least one incident physical illness. Baseline continuous CES-D score was a significant predictor of incident chronic illness burden up to 10 years later (incident rate ratio = 1.05, 95% confidence intervals = 0.05–0.21, p = .003), independent of sociodemographic, behavioural, cognitive and clinical covariates. Sensitivity analyses excluding participants who developed a chronic illness within the 2 years following baseline corroborated the main results. // Conclusion: Depressive symptoms were associated with greater incident chronic illness burden 10 years later. These findings have clinical implications for the treatment of depression in physically healthy older adults.

Type: Article
Title: Depressive symptoms predict incident chronic disease burden 10 years later: Findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA)
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpsychores.2018.07.009
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpsychores.2018.07.009
Language: English
Additional information: © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY/4.0/)
Keywords: Depressive symptoms, Chronic illness burden, Multimorbidity, Longitudinal, English Longitudinal Study of Ageing
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health > Behavioural Science and Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Health Informatics
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10054457
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