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Assessment of equity principles for international climate policy based on an integrated assessment model

Mi, Z; Liao, H; Coffman, DD; Wei, Y-M; (2018) Assessment of equity principles for international climate policy based on an integrated assessment model. Natural Hazards 10.1007/s11069-018-3408-7. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Defining an internationally equitable distribution of the burdens of reducing greenhouse gases has been one of core concerns for as long as climate policies have been debated. This paper suggests the specific formulae and indicators for four equity principles for international climate policy including the ability to pay, egalitarianism, grandfathering, and historical responsibility. We introduce the carbon trading scheme into the integrated assessment model to assess and compare the global climate policies which are based on the four principles. To be specific, the regional emission caps are determined by the four equity principles, and all regions are allowed to buy and sell permits. Results show that none of the four equity principles creates a burden sharing arrangement that completely equalizes the benefits of each nation. To be specific, grandfathering is more beneficial to developed countries, while historical responsibility benefits developing countries more. From the global perspective, the global cumulative output of the grandfathering is 8% higher than that of the historical responsibility. In addition, international cooperation on climate change mitigation is necessary, because if individual nations undertake policies which are in their national self-interests, global cumulative CO2 emission will be over two times as much as that in cooperative scenarios.

Type: Article
Title: Assessment of equity principles for international climate policy based on an integrated assessment model
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3408-7
Publisher version: http://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3408-7
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
Keywords: Equity, Emission permits, Carbon trading, Grandfathering Historical responsibility, Integrated assessment model
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10053113
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