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China's "Exported Carbon" Peak: Patterns, Drivers, and Implications

Mi, Z; Meng, J; Green, F; Coffman, DD; Guan, D; (2018) China's "Exported Carbon" Peak: Patterns, Drivers, and Implications. Geophysical Research Letters , 45 (9) pp. 4309-4318. 10.1029/2018GL077915. Green open access

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Abstract

Over the past decade, China has entered a “new normal” phase in economic development, with its role in global trade flows changing significantly. This study estimates the driving forces of Chinese export‐embodied carbon emissions in the new normal phase, based on environmentally extended multiregional input‐output modeling and structural decomposition analysis. We find that Chinese export‐embodied CO2 emissions peaked in 2008 at a level of 1,657 million tones. The subsequent decline in CO2 emissions was mainly due to the changing structure of Chinese production. The peak in Chinese export‐embodied emissions is encouraging from the perspective of global climate change mitigation, as it implies downward pressure on global CO2 emissions. However, more attention should focus on ensuring that countries that may partly replace China as major production bases increase their exports using low‐carbon inputs.

Type: Article
Title: China's "Exported Carbon" Peak: Patterns, Drivers, and Implications
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1029/2018GL077915
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077915
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2018. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: emission transfers, exports, China, multiregional input‐output, structural decomposition analysis
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Political Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10047413
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