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Dissecting the null model for biological invasions: a meta-analysis of the propagule pressure effect

Cassey, P; Delean, S; Lockwood, JL; Sadowski, JS; Blackburn, TM; (2018) Dissecting the null model for biological invasions: a meta-analysis of the propagule pressure effect. PLOS Biology , 16 (4) , Article e2005987. 10.1371/journal.pbio.2005987. Green open access

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Abstract

A consistent determinant of the establishment success of alien species appears to be the number of individuals that are introduced to found a population (propagule pressure), yet variation in the form of this relationship has been largely unexplored. Here, we present the first quantitative systematic review of this form, using Bayesian meta-analytical methods. The relationship between propagule pressure and establishment success has been evaluated for a broad range of taxa and life histories, including invertebrates, herbaceous plants and long-lived trees, and terrestrial and aquatic vertebrates. We found a positive mean effect of propagule pressure on establishment success to be a feature of every hypothesis we tested. However, establishment success most critically depended on propagule pressures in the range of 10–100 individuals. Heterogeneity in effect size was associated primarily with different analytical approaches, with some evidence of larger effect sizes in animal rather than plant introductions. Conversely, no variation was accounted for in any analysis by the scale of study (field to global) or methodology (observational, experimental, or proxy) used. Our analyses reveal remarkable consistency in the form of the relationship between propagule pressure and alien population establishment success.

Type: Article
Title: Dissecting the null model for biological invasions: a meta-analysis of the propagule pressure effect
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2005987
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.2005987
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2018 Cassey et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Keywords: Invasive species, Vertebrates, Birds, Invertebrates, Publication ethics, Meta-analysis, Ecology, Mathematical models
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences > Genetics, Evolution and Environment
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10047111
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