eprintid: 1544033
rev_number: 29
eprint_status: archive
userid: 608
dir: disk0/01/54/40/33
datestamp: 2017-03-07 12:22:45
lastmod: 2021-10-15 22:56:35
status_changed: 2017-03-07 12:22:45
type: proceedings_section
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Williams, D
creators_name: Haworth, J
creators_name: Cheng, T
title: Predicting public confidence in the police with spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical modelling.
ispublished: pub
divisions: UCL
divisions: B04
divisions: C05
divisions: F44
keywords: Spatiotemporal, Bayesian hierarchical model, public confidence, policing, prediction
abstract: Public confidence in the police is crucial to effective policing. Estimating and predicting public
confidence at the local level will better enable the police to conduct proactive confidence interventions
to meet the concerns of the community. This work represents the first application of Bayesian spatiotemporal
modelling to estimation and prediction of public confidence in the police at the local level.
Three models of increasing spatiotemporal complexity were fitted by Markov chain Monte Carlo
simulation using free software package WinBUGS. Public confidence was successfully predicted at the
local level using a spatiotemporal model with an inseparable interaction structure.
date: 2016-04-01
date_type: published
publisher: GIS Research UK (GISRUK)
official_url: http://www.gre.ac.uk/ach/services/events/gisruk2016/home
oa_status: green
full_text_type: other
language: eng
primo: open
primo_central: open_green
verified: verified_manual
elements_id: 1212456
lyricists_name: Cheng, Tao
lyricists_name: Haworth, James
lyricists_id: TCHEN23
lyricists_id: JHAWO13
actors_name: Cheng, Tao
actors_name: Laslett, David
actors_id: TCHEN23
actors_id: DLASL34
actors_role: owner
actors_role: impersonator
full_text_status: public
series: GIS Research UK (GISRUK) Conference
volume: 24
place_of_pub: London, UK
event_title: The 24th GIS Research UK (GISRUK) Conference (GISRUK2016)
event_location: London, UK
event_dates: 30 March 2017 - 01 April 2017
institution: GISRUK2016
book_title: Proceedings of the 24th GIS Research UK (GISRUK) Conference
citation:        Williams, D;    Haworth, J;    Cheng, T;      (2016)    Predicting public confidence in the police with spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical modelling.                     In:  Proceedings of the 24th GIS Research UK (GISRUK) Conference.    GIS Research UK (GISRUK): London, UK.       Green open access   
 
document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1544033/1/Cheng_GISRUK_2016_paper_39%20Dawn.pdf