eprintid: 1473071
rev_number: 24
eprint_status: archive
userid: 608
dir: disk0/01/47/30/71
datestamp: 2015-12-10 15:59:08
lastmod: 2021-10-05 00:26:04
status_changed: 2015-12-10 15:59:08
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Davies, T
creators_name: Marchione, E
title: Event networks and the identification of crime pattern motifs
ispublished: pub
divisions: UCL
divisions: B04
divisions: C05
divisions: F52
note: © 2015 Davies, Marchione. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
abstract: In this paper we demonstrate the use of network analysis to characterise patterns of clustering in spatio-temporal events. Such clustering is of both theoretical and practical importance in the study of crime, and forms the basis for a number of preventative strategies. However, existing analytical methods show only that clustering is present in data, while offering little insight into the nature of the patterns present. Here, we show how the classification of pairs of events as close in space and time can be used to define a network, thereby generalising previous approaches. The application of graph-theoretic techniques to these networks can then offer significantly deeper insight into the structure of the data than previously possible. In particular, we focus on the identification of network motifs, which have clear interpretation in terms of spatio-temporal behaviour. Statistical analysis is complicated by the nature of the underlying data, and we provide a method by which appropriate randomised graphs can be generated. Two datasets are used as case studies: maritime piracy at the global scale, and residential burglary in an urban area. In both cases, the same significant 3-vertex motif is found; this result suggests that incidents tend to occur not just in pairs, but in fact in larger groups within a restricted spatio-temporal domain. In the 4-vertex case, different motifs are found to be significant in each case, suggesting that this technique is capable of discriminating between clustering patterns at a finer granularity than previously possible.
date: 2015-11-25
date_type: published
official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0143638
oa_status: green
full_text_type: pub
language: eng
primo: open
primo_central: open_green
article_type_text: Journal Article
verified: verified_manual
elements_id: 1091298
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0143638
pii: PONE-D-15-35665
language_elements: eng
lyricists_name: Davies, Toby
lyricists_id: TPDAV87
actors_name: Davies, Toby
actors_id: TPDAV87
actors_role: owner
full_text_status: public
publication: PLoS One
volume: 10
number: 11
article_number: e0143638
event_location: United States
issn: 1932-6203
citation:        Davies, T;    Marchione, E;      (2015)    Event networks and the identification of crime pattern motifs.                   PLoS One , 10  (11)    , Article e0143638.  10.1371/journal.pone.0143638 <https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0143638>.       Green open access   
 
document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1473071/1/journal.pone.0143638.pdf