TY - JOUR TI - A predictable outcome EP - 13 AV - public Y1 - 2015/04// ID - discovery1470383 N2 - Gianluca Baio and Roberto Cerina used a modified version of a dynamic Bayesian forecasting model to "predict" the 2014 US Senate elections. The results bode well for the 2016 vote. PB - Blackwell Publishing Ltd N1 - This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Baio, G. and Cerina, R. (2015), A predictable outcome. Significance, 12: 11?13., which has been published in final form at doi: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00810.x. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving. IS - 2 VL - 12 SP - 11 JF - Significance A1 - Baio, G A1 - Cerina, R SN - 1740-9713 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00810.x ER -