?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.aulast=Ward&rft.au=Ward%2C+EJ&rft.aufirst=EJ&rft.atitle=Complexity+is+costly%3A+A+meta-analysis+of+parametric+and+non-parametric+methods+for+short-term+population+forecasting&rft.volume=123&rft.date=June+2014&rft.pages=652+-+661&rft.issn=0030-1299&rft.title=Oikos&rft.issue=6&rft.genre=article