eprintid: 1404836
rev_number: 40
eprint_status: archive
userid: 608
dir: disk0/01/40/48/36
datestamp: 2013-09-11 22:47:20
lastmod: 2021-10-13 23:27:17
status_changed: 2015-05-27 09:54:01
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
item_issues_count: 0
creators_name: Maslin, M
title: Cascading uncertainty in climate change models and its implications for policy
ispublished: pub
divisions: UCL
divisions: B03
divisions: C03
divisions: F26
keywords: climate change policy, climate models, uncertainty
note: © 2013 The Author. The Geographical Journal © 2013 Royal Geographical Society(with the Institute of British Geographers. Full text made available to UCL Discovery by kind permission of Wiley
abstract: Climate scientists face a serious public image problem because the next round of climate models they are working on are destined to produce a wider rather than a smaller range of uncertainty. To the public and policymakers, it will look as if the scientific understanding of climate change is becoming less rather than more clear, particularly as there will be a deliberate attempt by lobbyists and parts of the media to portray the science in this way. There is a need to communicate the fundamental strengths and weaknesses of climate modelling as an essential tool to allow us to understand the consequences of our actions and to develop appropriate policy. We need to demonstrate that with greater knowledge comes greater uncertainty but also greater transparency and confidence in our knowledge. New communications strategies that do not solely rely on the 'weight of evidence' argument but instead aim to win hearts and minds are required. New policy approaches combining win-win solutions are required if issues of climate change mitigation and adaptation are to be tackled. © 2013 The Author. The Geographical Journal © 2013 Royal Geographical Society (with the Institute of British Geographers).
date: 2013-09
official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4959.2012.00494.x
vfaculties: VSHS
oa_status: green
full_text_type: pub
language: eng
primo: open
primo_central: open_green
verified: verified_manual
elements_source: Scopus
elements_id: 897492
doi: 10.1111/j.1475-4959.2012.00494.x
lyricists_name: Maslin, Mark
lyricists_id: MAMAS08
full_text_status: public
publication: Geographical Journal
volume: 179
number: 3
pagerange: 264 - 271
issn: 0016-7398
citation:        Maslin, M;      (2013)    Cascading uncertainty in climate change models and its implications for policy.                   Geographical Journal , 179  (3)   264 - 271.    10.1111/j.1475-4959.2012.00494.x <https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4959.2012.00494.x>.       Green open access   
 
document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1404836/1/geoj494.pdf