eprintid: 10197014 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 699 dir: disk0/10/19/70/14 datestamp: 2024-09-16 12:42:33 lastmod: 2024-09-16 12:42:33 status_changed: 2024-09-16 12:42:33 type: proceedings_section metadata_visibility: show sword_depositor: 699 creators_name: Casagrande, V creators_name: Ferianc, M creators_name: Rodrigues, M creators_name: Boem, F title: Learning-based MPC with uncertainty estimation for resilient microgrid energy management ispublished: pub divisions: UCL divisions: B04 divisions: F46 keywords: Energy Management Systems, Microgrid, Model Predictive Control, Online Learning, Uncertainty Estimation note: © 2024 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) abstract: To enhance fault resilience in microgrid systems at the energy management level, this paper introduces a novel proactive scheduling algorithm, based on uncertainty modelling thanks to a specifically designed neural network. The algorithm is trained and deployed online and it estimates uncertainties in predicting future load demands and other relevant profiles. We integrate the novel learning algorithm with a stochastic model predictive control, enabling the microgrid to store sufficient energy to adaptively deal with possible faults. Experimental results show that a reliable estimation of the unknown profiles' mean and variance is obtained, improving the robustness of proactive scheduling strategies against uncertainties. date: 2024 date_type: published publisher: Elsevier BV official_url: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2024.07.277 oa_status: green full_text_type: pub language: eng primo: open primo_central: open_green verified: verified_manual elements_id: 2311647 doi: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2024.07.277 lyricists_name: Boem, Francesca lyricists_name: Rodrigues, Miguel lyricists_name: Casagrande, Vittorio lyricists_id: FBOEM63 lyricists_id: MRDIA06 lyricists_id: VCASA62 actors_name: Casagrande, Vittorio actors_id: VCASA62 actors_role: owner full_text_status: public pres_type: paper publication: IFAC-PapersOnLine volume: 58:4 number: 4 pagerange: 556-561 event_title: 19th IFAC World Congress issn: 2405-8963 book_title: IFAC-PapersOnLine citation: Casagrande, V; Ferianc, M; Rodrigues, M; Boem, F; (2024) Learning-based MPC with uncertainty estimation for resilient microgrid energy management. In: IFAC-PapersOnLine. (pp. pp. 556-561). Elsevier BV Green open access document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10197014/2/Casagrande_1-s2.0-S2405896324003616-main.pdf