TY  - JOUR
SN  - 0921-3449
A1  - Zhao, Rongtian
A1  - Wang, Daoping
A1  - Ge, Yong
A1  - Zhang, Mo
A1  - Zhang, Die
A1  - Coffman, D'Maris
A1  - Cheng, Qiuming
KW  - Global supply chains
KW  - 
Production resources
KW  - 
Cascade effects
KW  - 
Regional conflict
KW  - 
Inequality
KW  - 
Geographic economic methods
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2024.107740
Y1  - 2024/10/01/
JF  - Resources, Conservation and Recycling
AV  - public
PB  - Elsevier BV
N2  - Regional conflicts have become prominent in triggering shocks on supply chains and cascade effects on resource management. Reliable assessments of the cascading pattern of production resources among sectors globally are missing. Here, we modeled global multisectoral production losses and the cascading pattern of a grain supply shock in the Russia?Ukraine regional conflict by utilizing a geographic input?output approach. We find that the most cascading losses emerged in the textile (17.04 % ą 0.72 %, 95 % confidence intervals) and food-processing sectors (16.85 % ą 0.5 %). The shock propagated in a ?grain?processed food/livestock? direct chain and a ?light manufacturing?heavy manufacturing/textile? indirect chain. Prolonged conflict and disrupted resource allocation decreased the efficiency of production recovery in low-income countries and amplified inequality of production resources. Our approach presents a quantitative framework for unexpected supply chain shocks. The findings support the case for production aid to low-income countries and circular supply chains for sustainable development.
TI  - Cascade effects of global supply chains induced by regional conflicts increase global inequality
VL  - 209
N1  - This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher?s terms and conditions.
ID  - discovery10193649
ER  -