eprintid: 10192334 rev_number: 6 eprint_status: archive userid: 699 dir: disk0/10/19/23/34 datestamp: 2024-05-15 13:30:58 lastmod: 2024-05-15 13:30:58 status_changed: 2024-05-15 13:30:58 type: article metadata_visibility: show sword_depositor: 699 creators_name: Trauth, Martin H creators_name: Asrat, Asfawossen creators_name: Fischer, Markus L creators_name: Hopcroft, Peter O creators_name: Foerster, Verena creators_name: Kaboth-Bahr, Stefanie creators_name: Kindermann, Karin creators_name: Lamb, Henry F creators_name: Marwan, Norbert creators_name: Maslin, Mark A creators_name: Schaebitz, Frank creators_name: Valdes, Paul J title: Early warning signals of the termination of the African Humid Period(s) ispublished: pub divisions: UCL divisions: B03 divisions: C03 divisions: F26 note: This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. abstract: The transition from a humid green Sahara to today’s hyperarid conditions in northern Africa ~5.5 thousand years ago shows the dramatic environmental change to which human societies were exposed and had to adapt to. In this work, we show that in the 620,000-year environmental record from the Chew Bahir basin in the southern Ethiopian Rift, with its decadal resolution, this one thousand year long transition is particularly well documented, along with 20–80 year long droughts, recurring every ~160 years, as possible early warnings. Together with events of extreme wetness at the end of the transition, these droughts form a pronounced climate “flickering”, which can be simulated in climate models and is also present in earlier climate transitions in the Chew Bahir environmental record, indicating that transitions with flickering are characteristic of this region. date: 2024-05-07 date_type: published publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47921-1 oa_status: green full_text_type: pub language: eng primo: open primo_central: open_green verified: verified_manual elements_id: 2274478 doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-47921-1 lyricists_name: Maslin, Mark lyricists_id: MAMAS08 actors_name: Flynn, Bernadette actors_id: BFFLY94 actors_role: owner full_text_status: public publication: Nature Communications volume: 15 article_number: 3697 issn: 2041-1723 citation: Trauth, Martin H; Asrat, Asfawossen; Fischer, Markus L; Hopcroft, Peter O; Foerster, Verena; Kaboth-Bahr, Stefanie; Kindermann, Karin; ... Valdes, Paul J; + view all <#> Trauth, Martin H; Asrat, Asfawossen; Fischer, Markus L; Hopcroft, Peter O; Foerster, Verena; Kaboth-Bahr, Stefanie; Kindermann, Karin; Lamb, Henry F; Marwan, Norbert; Maslin, Mark A; Schaebitz, Frank; Valdes, Paul J; - view fewer <#> (2024) Early warning signals of the termination of the African Humid Period(s). Nature Communications , 15 , Article 3697. 10.1038/s41467-024-47921-1 <https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47921-1>. Green open access document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10192334/1/s41467-024-47921-1.pdf