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<https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10187354> <http://purl.org/dc/terms/title> "Contribution of Cold Versus Climate Change to Mortality in London, UK, 1976–2019"^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> .
<https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10187354> <http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/abstract> "Objectives: To quantify past reductions in cold-related mortality attributable to anthropogenic climate change.\r\n//\r\nMethods: We performed a daily time-series regression analysis employing distributed lag nonlinear models of 1 203 981 deaths in Greater London, United Kingdom, in winter months (November–March) during 1976 to 2019. We made attribution assessment by comparing differential cold-related mortality impacts associated with observed temperatures to those using counterfactual temperatures representing no climate change.\r\n//\r\nResults: Over the past decade, the average number of cold days (below 8 °C) per year was 120 in the observed series and 158 in the counterfactual series. Since 1976, we estimate 447 (95% confidence interval = 330, 559) annual cold-related all-cause deaths have been avoided because of milder temperatures associated with climate change. Annually, 241 cardiovascular and 73 respiratory disease deaths have been avoided.\r\n//\r\nConclusions: Anthropogenic climate change made some contribution to reducing previous cold-related deaths in London; however, cold remains an important public health risk factor.\r\n//\r\nPublic Health Implications: Better adaptation to both heat and cold should be promoted in public health measures to protect against climate change. In England, this has been addressed by the development of a new year-round Adverse Weather and Health Plan. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print February 15, 2024:e1–e5. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307552)."^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> .
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