TY  - JOUR
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01440-3
SP  - 242
TI  - Development transitions for fossil fuel-producing low and lower?middle income countries in a carbon-constrained world
KW  - Carbon and energy
KW  -  Developing world
KW  -  Energy justice
ID  - discovery10187102
SN  - 2058-7546
N1  - This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher?s terms and conditions.
EP  - 250
JF  - Nature Energy
AV  - public
N2  - The production and use of fossil fuels need to decline rapidly to limit global warming. Although global net-zero scenarios abound, the associated development ramifications for fossil fuel-producing low and lower?middle income countries (LLMICs), as well as adequate international responses, have been underexplored. Here we conceptualize that, depending on country context, three types of development transition follow from declining fossil fuel production and use for LLMIC producers, namely an energy transition, an economic transition and an equitable fossil fuel production transition. We propose a classification of these transitions, arguing that heterogeneity in LLMICs? fossil fuel production and usage substantially impacts their pathways towards low-carbon development. We illustrate this by discussing different cases of fossil fuel-producing LLMICs, focusing on Mozambique, India, Lao PDR and Angola. We conclude by detailing context-specific international support portfolios to foster low-carbon development in fossil fuel-producing LLMICs, and call for a re-orientation of international support along principles of global solidarity.
VL  - 9
A1  - Foster, Vivien
A1  - Trotter, Philipp A
A1  - Werner, Sven
A1  - Niedermayer, Melin
A1  - Mulugetta, Yacob
A1  - Achakulwisut, Ploy
A1  - Brophy, Aoife
A1  - Dubash, Navroz K
A1  - Fankhauser, Sam
A1  - Hawkes, Adam
A1  - Hirmer, Stephanie
A1  - Jenkins, Stuart
A1  - Loni, Sam
A1  - McGivern, Alexis
A1  - Nanthavong, Khamphone
A1  - Probst, Benedict
A1  - Pye, Steve
A1  - Russo, Vladimir
A1  - Semieniuk, Gregor
A1  - Shenga, Carlos
A1  - Sridharan, Vignesh
A1  - Srivastav, Sugandha
A1  - Sokona, Youba
A1  - Croxatto, Lucas Somavilla
A1  - Yang, Pu
PB  - Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Y1  - 2024/03//
ER  -