@article{discovery10185732, publisher = {Elsevier BV}, note = {Copyright {\copyright} 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).}, volume = {15}, month = {January}, year = {2024}, title = {A robust autoregressive long-term spatiotemporal forecasting framework for surrogate-based turbulent combustion modeling via deep learning}, journal = {Energy and AI}, keywords = {Turbulent combustion; Detailed reaction mechanism; Transient simulation; Deep neural network; Spatiotemporal series prediction; Long-term forecast stability}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.egyai.2023.100333}, author = {Wu, Sipei and Wang, Haiou and Luo, Kai Hong}, abstract = {This paper systematically develops a high-fidelity turbulent combustion surrogate model using deep learning. We construct a surrogate model to simulate the turbulent combustion process in real time, based on a state-of-the-art spatiotemporal forecasting neural network. To address the issue of shifted distribution in autoregressive long-term prediction, two training techniques are proposed: unrolled training and injecting noise training. These techniques significantly improve the stability and robustness of the model. Two datasets of turbulent combustion in a combustor with cavity and a vitiated co-flow burner (Cabra burner) have been generated for model validation. The effects of model architecture, unrolled time, noise amplitude, and training dataset size on the long-term predictive performance are explored. The well-trained model can be applicable to new cases by extrapolation and give spatially and temporally consistent results in long-term predictions for turbulent reacting flows that are highly unsteady.}, issn = {2666-5468} }