eprintid: 10120848 rev_number: 15 eprint_status: archive userid: 608 dir: disk0/10/12/08/48 datestamp: 2021-02-08 10:58:14 lastmod: 2021-02-08 13:58:59 status_changed: 2021-02-08 10:58:14 type: proceedings_section metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Owoeye, K title: Forecasting Avian Migration Patterns using a Deep Bidirectional RNN Augmented with an Auxiliary Task ispublished: pub divisions: UCL divisions: A01 divisions: B04 divisions: C05 divisions: F48 keywords: Data Mining: Mining Spatial, Temporal Data, Multidisciplinary Topics and Applications: AI for Life Science, Machine Learning: Classification, Machine Learning: Deep Learning: Sequence Modeling note: © 2020, IJCAI This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. abstract: Early forecasting of bird migration patterns has important application for example in reducing avian biodiversity loss. An estimated 100 million to 1 billion birds are known to die yearly during migration due to fatal collisions with human made infrastructures such as buildings, high tension lines, wind turbines and aircrafts thus raising a huge concern for conservationists. Building models that can forecast accurate migration patterns is therefore important to enable the optimal management of these critical infrastructures with the sole aim of reducing biodiversity loss. While previous works have largely focused on the task of forecasting migration intensities and the onset of just one migration state, predicting several migration states at even finer granularity is more useful towards optimally managing the infrastructures that causes these deaths. In this work, we consider the task of forecasting migration patterns of the popular Turkey Vulture (Cathartes aura) collected with the aid of satellite telemetry for multiple years at a resolution of one hour. We use a deep Bidirectional-GRU recurrent neural network augmented with an auxiliary task where the state information of one layer is used to initialise the other. Empirical results on a variety of experiments with our approach show we can accurately forecast migration up to one week in advance performing better than a variety of baselines. date: 2021-01-15 date_type: published publisher: IJCAI International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence Organization official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2020/604 oa_status: green full_text_type: pub language: eng primo: open primo_central: open_green verified: verified_manual elements_id: 1842608 doi: 10.24963/ijcai.2020/604 isbn_13: 9780999241165 lyricists_name: Owoeye, Kehinde lyricists_id: OWOEY11 actors_name: Owoeye, Kehinde actors_id: OWOEY11 actors_role: owner full_text_status: public publication: Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence place_of_pub: Yokohama, Japan pagerange: 4382-4388 event_title: Twenty-Ninth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Seventeenth Pacific Rim International Conference on Artificial Intelligence {IJCAI-PRICAI-20} institution: Twenty-Ninth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Seventeenth Pacific Rim International Conference on Artificial Intelligence {IJCAI-PRICAI-20} book_title: Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence Special track on AI for CompSust and Human well-being citation: Owoeye, K; (2021) Forecasting Avian Migration Patterns using a Deep Bidirectional RNN Augmented with an Auxiliary Task. In: Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence Special track on AI for CompSust and Human well-being. (pp. pp. 4382-4388). IJCAI International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence Organization: Yokohama, Japan. Green open access document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10120848/1/ijcai20-multiauthor.pdf