%D 2011
%A TWP Smith
%A M Barrett
%A E O'Keefe
%A S Parker
%A N Rehmatulla
%T Initial Estimates On Shipping’s Cost Impacts and Emissions for a Range of Policy Options - A Prototype Model
%X Shipping was estimated, in 2007, to be responsible for 3.3% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions. Scenarios for
future growth in transport demand suggest that this share could substantially increase in the next 40 years, and
without regulation the growth in emissions associated with that demand growth would be uncontrolled.
Modelling can be used to understand the potential trajectories of emissions from the shipping industry and its
potential development and impacts under foreseeable economic scenarios. Modelling can also be used to
estimate the response (in terms of changes to those emissions trajectories and impacts on the industry) due to
hypothetical regulation and policies. This paper proposes methods for conceptualizing the different components
of the shipping industry for these purposes.
%C Strathclyde
%O This version is the author-accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
%I Low Carbon Shipping
%L discovery10116126
%K ship, economics, energy efficiency, policy