eprintid: 10105899
rev_number: 16
eprint_status: archive
userid: 608
dir: disk0/10/10/58/99
datestamp: 2020-08-10 09:56:50
lastmod: 2021-10-16 22:46:37
status_changed: 2020-08-10 09:56:50
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Caroca Soto, P
creators_name: Cartes, C
creators_name: Davies, TP
creators_name: Olivari, J
creators_name: Rica, S
creators_name: Vogt-Geisse, K
title: The anatomy of the 2019 Chilean social unrest
ispublished: pub
divisions: UCL
divisions: B04
divisions: C05
divisions: F52
note: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
abstract: We analyze the 2019 Chilean social unrest episode, consisting of a sequence of events, through the lens of an epidemic-like model that considers global contagious dynamics. We adjust the parameters to the Chilean social unrest aggregated public data available from the Undersecretary of Human Rights and observe that the number of violent events follows a well-defined pattern already observed in various public disorder episodes in other countries since the 1960s. Although the epidemic-like models display a single event that reaches a peak followed by an exponential decay, we add standard perturbation schemes that may produce a rich temporal behavior as observed in the 2019 Chilean social turmoil. Although we only have access to aggregated data, we are still able to fit it to our model quite well, providing interesting insights on social unrest dynamics.
date: 2020-07-21
official_url: https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0006307
oa_status: green
full_text_type: other
language: eng
primo: open
primo_central: open_green
verified: verified_manual
elements_id: 1786610
doi: 10.1063/5.0006307
lyricists_name: Davies, Toby
lyricists_id: TPDAV87
actors_name: Davies, Toby
actors_id: TPDAV87
actors_role: owner
full_text_status: public
publication: Chaos
volume: 30
number: 7
article_number: 073129
event_location: United States
citation:        Caroca Soto, P;    Cartes, C;    Davies, TP;    Olivari, J;    Rica, S;    Vogt-Geisse, K;      (2020)    The anatomy of the 2019 Chilean social unrest.                   Chaos , 30  (7)    , Article 073129.  10.1063/5.0006307 <https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0006307>.       Green open access   
 
document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10105899/1/2003.00423v2.pdf