<> <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment> "The repository administrator has not yet configured an RDF license."^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> . <> <http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/primaryTopic> <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10062913> . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10062913> <http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type> <http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/Article> . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10062913> <http://purl.org/dc/terms/title> "Predicting cryptocurrency price bubbles using social media data and epidemic modelling"^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10062913> <http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/abstract> "Financial price bubbles have previously been linked with the epidemic-like spread of an investment idea; such bubbles are commonly seen in cryptocurrency prices. This paper aims to predict such bubbles for a number of cryptocurrencies using a hidden Markov model previously utilised to detect influenza epidemic outbreaks, based in this case on the behaviour of novel online social media indicators. To validate the methodology further, a trading strategy is built and tested on historical data. The resulting trading strategy outperforms a buy and hold strategy. The work demonstrates both the broader utility of epidemic-detecting hidden Markov models in the identification of bubble-like behaviour in time series, and that social media can provide valuable predictive information pertaining to cryptocurrency price movements."^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10062913> <http://purl.org/dc/terms/date> "2018-02-05" . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/document/794624> <http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type> <http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/Document> . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10062913> <http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/volume> "2017" . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/org/ext-af0a9a5baed87c407844a3f5db44597c> <http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type> <http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/Organization> . <https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/org/ext-af0a9a5baed87c407844a3f5db44597c> <http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/name> "IEEE"^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> . 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