eprintid: 10053941
rev_number: 25
eprint_status: archive
userid: 608
dir: disk0/10/05/39/41
datestamp: 2018-08-07 11:09:09
lastmod: 2021-09-26 23:12:01
status_changed: 2018-08-07 11:09:09
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Dustmann, C
creators_name: Vasiljeva, K
creators_name: Damm, AP
title: Refugee Migration and Electoral Outcomes
ispublished: pub
divisions: UCL
divisions: B03
divisions: C03
divisions: F24
note: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
abstract: To estimate the causal effect of refugee migration on voting outcomes in parliamentary and municipal elections in Denmark, our study is the first that addresses the key problem of immigrant sorting by exploiting a policy that assigned refugee immigrants to municipalities on a quasi-random basis. We find that in all but the most urban municipalities, allocation of larger refugee shares between electoral cycles leads to an increase in the vote share for right-leaning parties with an anti-immigration agenda, and we show large differences in voters’ responses to refugee allocation according to pre-policy municipal characteristics. However, in the largest and urban municipalities, refugee allocation has—if anything—the opposite effect on vote shares for anti-immigration parties. This coincides with a sharp divide in attitudes to refugees between urban and rural populations, which may be partly explained by distinctive interactions between natives and those with different background in cities and rural areas. Refugee allocation also has a large impact on the anti-immigration parties’ choice of where to stand for municipal election, and we provide some evidence that it influences voter turnout.
date: 2019-10
date_type: published
publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
official_url: https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdy047
oa_status: green
full_text_type: other
language: eng
primo: open
primo_central: open_green
verified: verified_manual
elements_id: 1574140
doi: 10.1093/restud/rdy047
lyricists_name: Dustmann, Christian
lyricists_id: CDUST02
actors_name: Dustmann, Christian
actors_id: CDUST02
actors_role: owner
full_text_status: public
publication: The Review of Economic Studies
volume: 85
number: 5
pagerange: 2035-2091
issn: 0034-6527
citation:        Dustmann, C;    Vasiljeva, K;    Damm, AP;      (2019)    Refugee Migration and Electoral Outcomes.                   The Review of Economic Studies , 85  (5)   pp. 2035-2091.    10.1093/restud/rdy047 <https://doi.org/10.1093/restud%2Frdy047>.       Green open access   
 
document_url: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10053941/1/FinalREStud.pdf