Nava, N;
Di Matteo, T;
Aste, T;
(2018)
Financial time series forecasting using empirical mode decomposition and support vector regression.
Risks
, 6
(1)
, Article 7. 10.3390/risks6010007.
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Abstract
We introduce a multistep-ahead forecasting methodology that combines empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and support vector regression (SVR). This methodology is based on the idea that the forecasting task is simplified by using as input for SVR the time series decomposed with EMD. The outcomes of this methodology are compared with benchmark models commonly used in the literature. The results demonstrate that the combination of EMD and SVR can outperform benchmark models significantly, predicting the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index from 30 s to 25 min ahead. The high-frequency components better forecast short-term horizons, whereas the low-frequency components better forecast long-term horizons.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Financial time series forecasting using empirical mode decomposition and support vector regression |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.3390/risks6010007 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.3390/risks6010007 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
| Keywords: | empirical mode decomposition; support vector regression; forecasting |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Computer Science |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10063277 |
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