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Forecasting Resilience in arctic societies: Creating tools for assessing social-hydrological systems

Altaweel, MR; Alessa, LN; Kliskey, AD; (2009) Forecasting Resilience in arctic societies: Creating tools for assessing social-hydrological systems. Journal of the American Water Resources Association , 45 (6) pp. 1379-1389. 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2009.00370.x.

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Abstract

Arctic communities are increasingly faced with social-ecological changes that act at variable speeds and spatial scales. Such changes will affect vital resources, particularly water supplies. Currently, there are few computational tools that integrate multiple social and environmental processes in order to aid communities' adaptation to change through decision support systems. This paper proposes a modeling and simulation approach that can integrate such processes at different spatiotemporal scales in order to address issues affecting community water supplies. In this paper, a modeling and simulation tool is developed and applied to a case study on the Seward Peninsula. Initial results, using both field observations and computation, show projected patterns of water use, perceptions of water availability, and long-term consumption trends. More broadly, the paper demonstrates the need for developing tools that address issues at the community level for better understanding human and hydrological interactions and policy decisions affecting water supplies. © 2009 American Water Resources Association.

Type: Article
Title: Forecasting Resilience in arctic societies: Creating tools for assessing social-hydrological systems
DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2009.00370.x
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of SandHS > Institute of Archaeology
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of SandHS > Institute of Archaeology > Institute of Archaeology Gordon Square
URI: http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1329424
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