Good, P and Caesar, J and Bernie, D and Lowe, JA and van der Linden, P and Gosling, SN and Warren, R and Arnell, NW and Smith, S and Bamber, J and Payne, T and Laxon, S and Srokosz, M and Sitch, S and Gedney, N and Harris, G and Hewitt, H and Jackson, L and Jones, CD and O'Connor, F and Ridley, J and Vellinga, M and Halloran, P and McNeall, D (2011) A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system. PROG PHYS GEOG , 35 (3) 281 - 296. 10.1177/0309133311407651.
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This article reviews some of the major lines of recent scientific progress relevant to the choice of global climate policy targets, focusing on changes in understanding since publication of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4). Developments are highlighted in the following major climate system components: ice sheets; sea ice; the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation; tropical forests; and accelerated carbon release from permafrost and ocean hydrates. The most significant developments in each component are identified by synthesizing input from multiple experts from each field. Overall, while large uncertainties remain in all fields, some substantial progress in understanding is revealed.
|Title:||A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system|
|Keywords:||Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), climate change, global climate, ice sheets, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), sea ice, tropical forest, MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION, GREENLAND ICE-SHEET, SEA-LEVEL RISE, GLOBAL VEGETATION MODELS, CARBON-CYCLE FEEDBACKS, AMAZON RAIN-FOREST, TROPICAL FORESTS, PERMAFROST CARBON, EXPERT JUDGMENTS, TIPPING ELEMENTS|
|UCL classification:||UCL > School of BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Earth Sciences|
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